據各地種子管理部門統計上報,截止5月13日,全省主要夏播農作物預計需商品種量為1261.89萬公斤;各地已備商品種子1491.36萬公斤(包括上游企業計劃供應省內的在庫(ku)種子);各(ge)地已供商品種子767.15萬(wan)公(gong)斤,為預計(ji)需種量的60.8%,供種進度快于去年。
一、分作物供需情況
1、晚稻(dao)(dao)(dao)預(yu)計(ji)需商品(pin)種量為(wei)1189.7萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(其(qi)中:常(chang)規稻(dao)(dao)(dao)862萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin),雜(za)(za)交稻(dao)(dao)(dao)327.7萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin));已備商品(pin)種1417.26萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(其(qi)中:常(chang)規稻(dao)(dao)(dao)1014.58萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin),雜(za)(za)交稻(dao)(dao)(dao)402.68萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)),超(chao)(chao)過預(yu)計(ji)數(shu)227.56萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(其(qi)中:常(chang)規稻(dao)(dao)(dao)超(chao)(chao)過152.58萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin),雜(za)(za)交稻(dao)(dao)(dao)超(chao)(chao)過74.98萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin));已供(gong)種720.35萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(其(qi)中:常(chang)規稻(dao)(dao)(dao)483.45萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin),雜(za)(za)交稻(dao)(dao)(dao)236.9萬(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)),為(wei)市場預(yu)計(ji)數(shu)的60.6%。
2、夏播玉米預計需商品(pin)(pin)種量為(wei)72.19萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)(其(qi)中:普通(tong)玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)39.53萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),鮮食玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)32.66萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin));已(yi)備商品(pin)(pin)種74.1萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)(其(qi)中:普通(tong)玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)42.43萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),鮮食玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)31.67萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin));已(yi)供種46.8萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)(其(qi)中:普通(tong)玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)27.13萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin), 鮮食玉米(mi)(mi)(mi)19.67萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)),為(wei)預計數的(de)64.8%。
二、供需分析
從今年夏播種子供需總量分析,晚稻預計需種量比上年實際供種量有所增加,種子供應有余;夏播玉米預計需種量比上年實際供種量也略有增加,種子供需基本平衡,個別地區個別緊俏品種存在缺種現象。其中常規水稻需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)前五位的(de)(de)(de)品種(zhong):嘉(jia)58、秀水(shui)134、浙粳88、秀水(shui)321和(he)寧88,需(xu)(xu)種(zhong)量(liang)分別為191、132.75、68.4、59.7和(he)56.11萬公斤(jin)(jin),占全(quan)省常規水(shui)稻(dao)市(shi)場需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)的(de)(de)(de)57.2%;雜(za)交(jiao)(jiao)晚(wan)稻(dao)需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)前五位的(de)(de)(de)品種(zhong):甬優(you)(you)538、甬優(you)(you)9號(hao)(hao)、甬優(you)(you)15號(hao)(hao)、甬優(you)(you)12號(hao)(hao)和(he)中浙優(you)(you)8號(hao)(hao),需(xu)(xu)種(zhong)量(liang)分別為45.11、35.81、35.13、26.04和(he)24.71萬公斤(jin)(jin),占全(quan)省雜(za)交(jiao)(jiao)水(shui)稻(dao)市(shi)場需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)的(de)(de)(de)60.7%。常規水(shui)稻(dao)少(shao)量(liang)缺種(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)品種(zhong)有嘉(jia)58、嘉(jia)花(hua)1號(hao)(hao)、嘉(jia)禾218、秀水(shui)134和(he)祥湖301;雜(za)交(jiao)(jiao)水(shui)稻(dao)少(shao)量(liang)缺種(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)品種(zhong)有甬優(you)(you)9號(hao)(hao)、甬優(you)(you)12、甬優(you)(you)538和(he)甬優(you)(you)15,但以上(shang)品種(zhong)可(ke)以通(tong)過(guo)上(shang)游(you)企業庫存調度滿(man)足各地市(shi)場需(xu)(xu)求(qiu)。同時我省種(zhong)子儲(chu)(chu)備充足,可(ke)隨時申請(qing)動用儲(chu)(chu)備種(zhong)子以滿(man)足市(shi)場需(xu)(xu)求(qiu),截止5月12日,已有衢(qu)江區、桐廬縣、永嘉(jia)縣、樂清市(shi)、金(jin)東(dong)區、東(dong)陽(yang)市(shi)和(he)平陽(yang)縣申請(qing)動用雜(za)交(jiao)(jiao)稻(dao)“甬優(you)(you)15”種(zhong)子8萬公斤(jin)(jin)。
三、價格分析
根據我省省級種子(zi)市場觀(guan)測點上(shang)(shang)報的170個種子(zi)價格(ge)樣(yang)本分析(xi),今年飼(si)用玉米(mi)和(he)甜玉米(mi)的種子(zi)價格(ge)與上(shang)(shang)年持平,常(chang)規晚稻、雜交晚稻和(he)糯玉米(mi)的種子(zi)價格(ge)有小幅上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)。其中:
1、常規晚稻種子零售價在6-8元/公(gong)斤之間(jian),均價為(wei)6.69元/公(gong)斤,比上(shang)年上(shang)漲6.4%。
2、雜交晚稻(dao)種(zhong)(zhong)子零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)在44-120元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)之間,均(jun)價(jia)(jia)為89.77元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)上(shang)(shang)漲10.7%,主(zhu)要種(zhong)(zhong)植品種(zhong)(zhong)大(da)多在80-100元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)之間。其中(zhong):中(zhong)浙優(you)(you)1號(hao)(hao)、中(zhong)浙優(you)(you)8號(hao)(hao)和中(zhong)浙優(you)(you)10號(hao)(hao)零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)格為84元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),與(yu)去年(nian)相同(tong);春優(you)(you)84零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)為85元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin);甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)6號(hao)(hao)、甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)8號(hao)(hao)、甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)9號(hao)(hao)、甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)10號(hao)(hao)零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)80-90元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),與(yu)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)持平;甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)12號(hao)(hao)零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)90-100元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)上(shang)(shang)漲12.5%;甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)15、甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)17、甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)538和甬(yong)(yong)優(you)(you)2640零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)100元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),與(yu)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)相同(tong);Y兩優(you)(you)系(xi)列和錢(qian)優(you)(you)系(xi)列零(ling)(ling)售(shou)價(jia)(jia)分別為94.8元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)和52元/公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin),價(jia)(jia)格比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)略有上(shang)(shang)漲。
3、夏播(bo)玉米種子零售價(jia)在(zai)13-240元/公(gong)(gong)斤之(zhi)間。飼用玉米零售價(jia)在(zai)13-60元/公(gong)(gong)斤之(zhi)間,均價(jia)29元/公(gong)(gong)斤,與(yu)去年(nian)持平;糯玉米零售價(jia)在(zai)27.5-100元/公(gong)(gong)斤之(zhi)間,均價(jia)69.40元/公(gong)(gong)斤,比(bi)去年(nian)上(shang)漲8%;甜玉米價(jia)格在(zai)110-240元/公(gong)(gong)斤之(zhi)間,均價(jia)為(wei)175元/公(gong)(gong)斤,與(yu)去年(nian)持平。
附表
2014年全省夏播農作物種子供需情況調查表
填報(bao)時間(jian):2014年5月(yue)13日 單(dan)位:萬公斤
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作 物(wu)
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預計需商品種量
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已備商品種量
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已供商品種量
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當日商品種庫存
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預計余缺量
|
|
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晚稻
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常規晚稻
|
862
|
1014.58
|
483.45
|
531.13
|
152.58
|
|
雜交晚稻
|
327.7
|
402.68
|
236.9
|
165.78
|
74.98
|
|
|
小 計
|
1189.7
|
1417.26
|
720.35
|
696.91
|
227.56
|
|
|
玉米
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普通玉米
|
39.53
|
42.43
|
27.13
|
15.3
|
2.9
|
|
鮮食玉米
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32.66
|
31.67
|
19.67
|
12
|
-0.99
|
|
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小 計
|
72.19
|
74.1
|
46.8
|
27.3
|
1.91
|
|
|
合 計(ji)
|
1261.89
|
1491.36
|
767.15
|
724.21
|
229.47
|
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