冬播種子供需信息

（二〇一二年第二期）
 

浙江省種子總站編印                  二(er)〇一二(er)年十月二(er)十九日(ri)

我省主要冬播農作物供種已超四成
  

    截止10月25日，據各地種(zhong)(zhong)子管理(li)部(bu)門上(shang)報統計，我省主要種(zhong)(zhong)子企業已(yi)備(bei)種(zhong)(zhong)512.62萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，比上(shang)期(qi)增(zeng)加(jia)2.98萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)；預計需商品種(zhong)(zhong)量為536.29萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，預計種(zhong)(zhong)子市(shi)場缺口為23.67萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，比上(shang)期(qi)減少6.27萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)；已(yi)供(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)量為228.79萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，為市(shi)場總需求(qiu)的42.66%，供(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)進度比去年同(tong)期(qi)略遲(chi)；尚有(you)庫存種(zhong)(zhong)子283.83萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)。

    一、分作物種子供應情況分析

    1、大麥預計需商品種量為61.34萬公斤；已備商品種60.02萬公斤，比上期增加0.27萬公斤，目前尚有1.32萬公斤的供應缺口；已(yi)供種19.06萬(wan)(wan)公斤(jin)，為市場需求的31.07%，尚有庫(ku)存種子40.96萬(wan)(wan)公斤(jin)。

    2、小麥預計需商品種(zhong)(zhong)量230.1萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤；已(yi)備商品種(zhong)(zhong)233.64萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤，比(bi)上期增加0.04萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤，超出市場(chang)預計需求(qiu)量3.54萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤；已(yi)供種(zhong)(zhong)73.86萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤，為市場(chang)需求(qiu)的(de)32.1%，尚有庫存種(zhong)(zhong)子159.78萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤。

    3、油菜預(yu)(yu)計需(xu)商(shang)品(pin)種(zhong)增為28.66萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)；已備商(shang)品(pin)種(zhong)30.11萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，比上期減少(shao)0.12萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，超出市場預(yu)(yu)計需(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)1.45萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)；已供種(zhong)18.94萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，為市場需(xu)求(qiu)的66.09%，尚有(you)庫(ku)存種(zhong)子(zi)11.17萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤(jin)(jin)。

    4、蠶豆預計需商(shang)品種(zhong)(zhong)減為170.75萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)；已(yi)備(bei)商(shang)品種(zhong)(zhong)150.19萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，比上期增加5.2萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，但(dan)仍有(you)20.56萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)的供應缺口(kou)；已(yi)供種(zhong)(zhong)94.88萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)，為市(shi)場(chang)需求(qiu)的53.55%，尚有(you)庫存種(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)55.31萬(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)。

    5、豌豆預計需商品(pin)種(zhong)為(wei)45.44萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)；已備(bei)商品(pin)種(zhong)38.66萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)，比(bi)上(shang)期(qi)(qi)減(jian)少2.41萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)，目前尚(shang)(shang)有6.78萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)的(de)供應缺口，比(bi)上(shang)期(qi)(qi)減(jian)少2.35萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)；已供種(zhong)22.05萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)，為(wei)市場需求的(de)48.53%，尚(shang)(shang)有庫存種(zhong)子(zi)16.61萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)公(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin)。

    二、市場種子供需情況分析

    從目(mu)前各(ge)地(di)上(shang)(shang)報(bao)情況看(kan)，今年我省(sheng)主要(yao)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)供應企業(ye)(包(bao)括上(shang)(shang)游(you)企業(ye))對(dui)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)市(shi)場的(de)需求判斷(duan)比較謹慎，大小麥和油菜種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)供需數量顯示緊平衡(heng)狀態；目(mu)前已有(you)寧海(hai)、長(chang)興、嘉善、龍灣四個(ge)縣（區）申請動用省(sheng)級大麥儲備種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)3.5萬公斤(jin)，儲備種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)到位(wei)后，大麥種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)市(shi)場總(zong)體將不(bu)再缺(que)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)；蠶(can)豆(dou)和豌豆(dou)這兩類作物雖(sui)然目(mu)前有(you)一定(ding)的(de)供種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)缺(que)口，但市(shi)場流(liu)通性比較充(chong)分(fen)，但供種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)缺(que)口較上(shang)(shang)期(qi)已有(you)較大幅度(du)的(de)減少，各(ge)地(di)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)經銷商會(hui)根據市(shi)場供種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)進(jin)度(du)進(jin)一步進(jin)行(xing)調(diao)劑，滿(man)足種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)市(shi)場需求。

    據(ju)我省種(zhong)子市場觀測點上(shang)報價格(ge)信息，本期(qi)各類作物種(zhong)子的(de)價格(ge)與(yu)上(shang)期(qi)比較(jiao)沒有變化。