截止2011年10月30日，據各地種子管理部(bu)門上報(bao)統計(ji)，預計(ji)全省主(zhu)要冬播作(zuo)物需要商品種(zhong)子(zi)539.22萬(wan)公斤(jin)，比上期(qi)增加8.12萬(wan)公斤(jin)；主(zhu)要種(zhong)子(zi)企業已備(bei)種(zhong)608.9萬(wan)公斤(jin)，比上期(qi)增加14.72萬(wan)公斤(jin)，超出(chu)市場需求69.68萬(wan)公斤(jin)；已供(gong)種(zhong)259.52萬(wan)公斤(jin)，為市場總需求的48.13%，供(gong)種(zhong)進度與去(qu)年相仿。

    一、分作物種子供應情況分析

    1、大麥預計(ji)(ji)需(xu)商品(pin)種(zhong)增為(wei)68.52萬公(gong)斤(jin)，比上期增加3.26萬公(gong)斤(jin)；已備(bei)商品(pin)種(zhong)73.23萬公(gong)斤(jin)，超過市(shi)場預計(ji)(ji)需(xu)求量4.71萬公(gong)斤(jin)；已供(gong)種(zhong)31.78萬公(gong)斤(jin)，為(wei)市(shi)場需(xu)求的46.38%，達上年(nian)實際供(gong)種(zhong)量的68.76%，尚有(you)庫(ku)存種(zhong)子37.47萬公(gong)斤(jin)。

    2、小麥預(yu)計(ji)(ji)需(xu)商品種量(liang)304.85，比上(shang)期增加11.35萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤；已(yi)備商品種355.93萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤，比上(shang)期增加1.97萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤，超出市場預(yu)計(ji)(ji)需(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)51.08萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤；已(yi)供(gong)種124.99萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤，為(wei)市場需(xu)求(qiu)的41%，已(yi)達上(shang)年實際(ji)供(gong)種量(liang)的96.76%，尚有庫存種子230.94萬(wan)(wan)公(gong)斤。

    3、油菜預(yu)計需商(shang)品種(zhong)(zhong)增為(wei)29.08萬公(gong)斤(jin)，比(bi)上(shang)期增加2.91萬公(gong)斤(jin)；已備商(shang)品種(zhong)(zhong)47.29萬公(gong)斤(jin)，與上(shang)期相同，超出(chu)市(shi)場預(yu)計需求量(liang)18.21萬公(gong)斤(jin)；已供(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)22.5萬公(gong)斤(jin)，為(wei)市(shi)場需求的(de)77.37%，已達上(shang)年(nian)實(shi)際供(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)的(de)99.73%，尚有庫存(cun)種(zhong)(zhong)子24.79萬公(gong)斤(jin)。

    4、蠶豆預(yu)計(ji)需商(shang)品(pin)(pin)種(zhong)減(jian)為82.58萬公斤(jin)，比(bi)上期減(jian)少3.55萬公斤(jin)；已備商(shang)品(pin)(pin)種(zhong)83.12萬公斤(jin)；已供種(zhong)44.22萬公斤(jin)，為市(shi)場(chang)需求(qiu)的53.55%，尚(shang)有(you)庫存種(zhong)子38.9萬公斤(jin)。

    5、豌豆預計需商品種減為54.19萬公斤，比上期減少5.49萬公斤；已備商品種49.33萬公斤，比上期增加12.31萬公斤，目前尚有4.86萬公斤的供應缺口(kou)；已(yi)供(gong)種36.03萬(wan)公斤，為市場(chang)需求的66.49%，尚(shang)有庫(ku)存種子13.3萬(wan)公斤。

    二、市場種子供需情況分析

    從(cong)目前各(ge)地上(shang)報(bao)情況(kuang)看(kan)，雖然(ran)上(shang)游(you)企業備(bei)(bei)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)充足(zu)，總(zong)體(ti)供(gong)(gong)應(ying)(ying)余量較(jiao)大，雖然(ran)一些地方備(bei)(bei)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)存(cun)在(zai)結構性缺口(kou)，已(yi)(yi)有部分(fen)縣市申請動用省級儲備(bei)(bei)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)，其中已(yi)(yi)批(pi)準長興(xing)縣動用1.5萬(wan)公斤省級小(xiao)麥(mai)儲備(bei)(bei)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)。目前各(ge)地供(gong)(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)進(jin)度順利(li)，其中油菜和小(xiao)麥(mai)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)供(gong)(gong)應(ying)(ying)量已(yi)(yi)接近上(shang)年全年供(gong)(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量。豌豆種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)雖然(ran)目前有一定的供(gong)(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)缺口(kou)，但(dan)較(jiao)上(shang)期已(yi)(yi)有較(jiao)大幅度的減少，各(ge)地種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)經銷(xiao)商會根據市場(chang)供(gong)(gong)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)進(jin)度自行進(jin)行調劑，滿足(zu)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子(zi)市場(chang)需求。

    據我省種子(zi)市場觀(guan)測點上報價格信息分析，本期各類作物種子(zi)的價格與上期比較(jiao)沒有變化。